The Nigeria Governors’ Forum (NGF) expresses fears of recession following the naira exchange policy of the Central Bank of Nigeria CBN
The governors made this known Saturday in a communiqué issued by Aminu Tambuwal, the Chairman of the NGF at the end of a meeting of the NGF
The governors berated the CBN over its presentation of inaccurate data upon which the current cash policy is based adding that the poor handling of the monetary policy has resulted in food inflation and meeting” daily livelihood”
“The argument by the CBN for what it describes as the astronomical increase in the currency in circulation as the basis for this policy is not supported by its own data,” the communique reads.
“According to the CBN, the currency in circulation increased from N1.4 trillion in 2015 to N3.23 trillion in
October 2022. The Bank appears not to have taken into consideration the increase in the size of the country’s nominal GDP over this period, the doubling of consumer prices, rising
population, and the impact of the humongous Ways & Means advances to the federal government by the Central Bank of Nigeria over this period.
“In the circumstances, it is safe to draw either of two conclusions – the CBN data may be incomplete or in fact, Nigerians may have done exceptionally well in the transition to a cashless economy.
“In addition, considering the sizeable informal sector in the nation, the amount of banknotes created in exchange so far by the CBN implies it vastly underestimated the economy’s
actual cash needs.
“The inability to use the new notes has had far-reaching economic effects, leading to the emergence of the Naira black market, severe food inflation, variable commodities prices based on the method of exchange,and long queues as well as crowds around Automated Teller Machines (ATMs) and banking halls across the country with individuals hoping to get a fraction of their money in new notes to meet their daily livelihood.
“The country runs the risk of a CBN-induced recession.” the NGF said.
